Data Science & Causal Inference
Economist (PhD, Penn State) applying causal inference, experimentation, and the SQL/Python stack to real-world data. This is my data-science portfolio — for my academic profile and CV, see olegmuratov.com.
Rebuilt 360,129 visits from 4.3 million raw events in Google's public GA4 export, and audited what the export can be trusted for: the store is its own traffic source on 53% of source-tagged events, some purchases are recorded up to four times, and add-to-cart is missing on 18 days. Conversion rose to 2.0% in early December and fell to 0.56% in early January; 7 of 12 week-over-week changes are beyond chance, while no swing in traffic stands out against the quarter's typical variation. Referral visits convert at 4.1%: 7.7% of visits, but 23.5% of visits with a purchase.
How do 85,000 London Airbnb listings price the year ahead? About a third post one price on every date. Within the same listing, posted prices are 2.4% higher on Friday and Saturday nights and about 11% higher over Christmas and New Year, and professional hosts' listings show roughly twice the premium. Built on posted prices only, with no booking or revenue claims the data can't support.